Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 34.25%. A draw had a probability of 33.1% and a win for Fuenlabrada had a probability of 32.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.9%) and 2-1 (6.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (16.82%), while for a Fuenlabrada win it was 0-1 (14.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Malaga in this match.