Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 3, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta5 - 1Crotone
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 71.85%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 12.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 3-0 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.1%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Crotone |
| 71.85% | 15.99% | 12.17% |
| Both teams to score 58.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 69.63% | 30.38% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 48.35% | 51.65% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.59% | 7.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 73.28% | 26.72% |
| Crotone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.97% | 37.03% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.19% | 73.82% |
| Score Analysis |
Atalanta BC 71.85%
Crotone 12.17%
Draw 15.99%
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Crotone |
| 2-0 @ 9.3% 2-1 @ 9.24% 3-0 @ 8.06% 3-1 @ 8.01% 1-0 @ 7.15% 4-0 @ 5.24% 4-1 @ 5.21% 3-2 @ 3.98% 5-0 @ 2.73% 5-1 @ 2.71% 4-2 @ 2.59% 5-2 @ 1.35% 6-0 @ 1.18% 6-1 @ 1.18% Other @ 3.94% Total : 71.85% | 1-1 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 4.59% 0-0 @ 2.75% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.24% Total : 15.99% | 1-2 @ 3.53% 0-1 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 1.52% 0-2 @ 1.36% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.87% Total : 12.17% |
How you voted: Atalanta vs Crotone
Atalanta BC
83.8%Draw
13.2%Crotone
2.9%68
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2018 5pm
Sep 20, 2017 7.45pm
Feb 18, 2017 5pm
Sep 26, 2016 6pm
