Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Monza had a probability of 28.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Monza |
45.09% ( 0.75) | 26.66% ( 0.04) | 28.26% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 49.45% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.93% ( -0.54) | 55.07% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.67% ( -0.45) | 76.33% ( 0.45) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.67% ( 0.13) | 24.34% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.27% ( 0.19) | 58.73% ( -0.18) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.35% ( -0.9) | 34.65% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.63% ( -0.96) | 71.38% ( 0.97) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Monza |
1-0 @ 11.91% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.54% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.66% | 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.12) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |