Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 51.33%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Como had a probability of 23.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Como win it was 1-0 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
Result | ||
Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
23.89% ( -0.5) | 24.77% ( -0.36) | 51.33% ( 0.85) |
Both teams to score 51.39% ( 0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.27% ( 0.99) | 50.72% ( -0.99) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.37% ( 0.87) | 72.62% ( -0.87) |
Como Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.04% ( 0.1) | 35.95% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.27% ( 0.1) | 72.73% ( -0.11) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% ( 0.74) | 19.75% ( -0.74) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.2% ( 1.19) | 51.79% ( -1.19) |
Score Analysis |
Como | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.9% Total : 23.89% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.77% | 0-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 9.34% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.17% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 5.05% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 2.05% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.85% Total : 51.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 40 | 15 | 25 | 34 |
4 | Fiorentina | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 28 | 11 | 17 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 16 | 10 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 26 |
8 | Bologna | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 25 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 16 |
13 | Genoa | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 16 |
14 | Lecce | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | -17 | 16 |
15 | Parma | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 15 |
16 | Como | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 15 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 15 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
19 | Monza | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |