Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.76%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.58%). The likeliest Empoli win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cagliari in this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
35.88% ( 0.19) | 27.36% ( 0.06) | 36.76% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.18% ( -0.22) | 55.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.06% ( -0.18) | 76.94% ( 0.18) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.27% ( 0.01) | 29.73% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.2% ( 0.01) | 65.79% ( -0.01) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0.26) | 29.19% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.32) | 65.13% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.36% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |