Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
61.57% ( -0.28) | 22.97% ( 0.51) | 15.46% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 43.53% ( -1.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.74% ( -2.28) | 54.26% ( 2.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.34% ( -1.93) | 75.65% ( 1.93) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( -0.9) | 17.23% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.46% ( -1.61) | 47.53% ( 1.61) |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.59% ( -1.68) | 47.4% ( 1.68) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.21% ( -1.28) | 82.79% ( 1.28) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Cagliari |
1-0 @ 14.36% ( 0.83) 2-0 @ 12.62% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 7.4% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 3.25% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.21) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.55% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.7) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.24) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.96% | 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.14) 0-2 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | Como | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 22 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
16 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
17 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
> Serie A Full Table |