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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Cagliari logo

Roma
4 - 0
Cagliari

Pellegrini (2'), Dybala (23', 51' pen.), Huijsen (59')
Paredes (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Nandez (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Roma and Cagliari, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Roma
Monday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-2 Torino
Friday, January 26 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Roma 2-0 Cagliari

Given the combination of Roma's fine home record and Cagliari's woes on the road, only one outcome is likely in Serie A's Monday night contest. The Giallorossi are rejuvenated under new management, so three more points should be theirs for the taking. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 61.57%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cagliari had a probability of 15.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Cagliari win it was 0-1 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
RomaDrawCagliari
61.57% (-0.284 -0.28) 22.97% (0.506 0.51) 15.46% (-0.223 -0.22)
Both teams to score 43.53% (-1.878 -1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.74% (-2.275 -2.28)54.26% (2.274 2.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.34% (-1.934 -1.93)75.65% (1.932 1.93)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.90000000000001 -0.9)17.23% (0.899 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.46% (-1.606 -1.61)47.53% (1.606 1.61)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.59% (-1.678 -1.68)47.4% (1.677 1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-1.283 -1.28)82.79% (1.282 1.28)
Score Analysis
    Roma 61.55%
    Cagliari 15.46%
    Draw 22.96%
RomaDrawCagliari
1-0 @ 14.36% (0.83 0.83)
2-0 @ 12.62% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.167 -0.17)
3-0 @ 7.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.269 -0.27)
4-0 @ 3.25% (-0.1 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.196 -0.2)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.205 -0.21)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.072 -0.07)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.121 -0.12)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 61.55%
1-1 @ 10.72% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.7 0.7)
2-2 @ 3.52% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.254 0.25)
1-2 @ 4% (-0.141 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.46%

How you voted: Roma vs Cagliari

Roma
91.3%
Draw
7.5%
Cagliari
1.2%
173
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 8
Cagliari
1-4
Roma
Nandez (87' pen.)
Sulemana (14'), Mourinho (44+44'), Obert (61')
Aouar (19'), Lukaku (20', 59'), Belotti (51')
Paredes (11'), Aouar (32'), Mourinho (44'), Bove (45+2')
Jan 16, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 22
Roma
1-0
Cagliari
Oliveras (33' pen.)
Oliveras (23'), Mancini (39'), Afena-Gyan (58')

Pavoletti (25'), Carboni (27'), Henrique (32'), Altare (70')
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Cagliari
1-2
Roma
Pavoletti (52')
Pedro (73'), Lykogiannis (77'), Bellanova (87')
Ibanez (71'), Pellegrini (78')
Zaniolo (38'), Pellegrini (79'), Abraham (80'), Calafiori (83')
Apr 25, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 33
Cagliari
3-2
Roma
Lykogiannis (4'), Marin (57'), Pedro (64')
Marin (53'), Pedro (80'), Duncan (90+3')
Perez (27'), Fazio (69')
Cristante (83')
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Roma
3-2
Cagliari
Veretout (11'), Dzeko (71'), Mancini (77')
Cristante (19'), Mancini (37'), Kumbulla (60')
Pedro (59', 90+1')
Zappa (20'), Nandez (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli21162335142150
2Inter Milan20145151183347
3Atalanta BCAtalanta21134446242243
4Lazio2112363728939
5Juventus21813034171737
6Fiorentina2096533211233
7Bologna208933226633
8AC Milan208752921831
9Roma217683127427
10Udinese217592432-826
11Torino215882126-523
12Genoa215881830-1223
13Como215792634-822
14CagliariCagliari2156102334-1121
15Empoli214892028-820
16Parma214892636-1020
17Lecce2155111536-2120
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2161142447-2319
19VeneziaVenezia2136121934-1515
20Monza2127122031-1113


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