Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 54.05%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.21%) and 0-1 (7.07%). The likeliest Lecce win was 2-1 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.