Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
Result | ||
Lecce | Draw | Udinese |
41.2% ( -0.02) | 27.51% ( 0.02) | 31.3% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.45% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.94% ( -0.04) | 57.06% ( 0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.06% ( -0.03) | 77.94% ( 0.03) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( -0.03) | 27.24% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.33% ( -0.04) | 62.67% ( 0.05) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.59% ( -0.01) | 33.41% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.96% ( -0.01) | 70.04% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Lecce | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.34% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.19% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 41.19% | 1-1 @ 12.97% 0-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.5% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% 0-2 @ 5.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 31.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 37 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 20 | 67 | 93 |
2 | AC Milan | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 46 | 27 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 68 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 18 | 14 | 5 | 52 | 31 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 66 |
6 | Roma | 37 | 18 | 9 | 10 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 6 | 13 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 60 |
8 | Fiorentina | 36 | 15 | 9 | 12 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 54 |
9 | Torino | 37 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 37 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 52 |
11 | Genoa | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 37 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 37 |
14 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 13 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 37 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 40 | 65 | -25 | 36 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 35 |
17 | Udinese | 37 | 5 | 19 | 13 | 36 | 53 | -17 | 34 |
18 | Empoli | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 53 | -26 | 33 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 37 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 29 | 78 | -49 | 16 |
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