Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 46.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 29.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 1-2 (7.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
46.54% ( -0.05) | 23.56% ( -0.01) | 29.9% ( 0.06) |
Both teams to score 60.58% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.02% ( 0.09) | 40.98% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.63% ( 0.09) | 63.37% ( -0.09) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.13% ( 0.02) | 17.87% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.36% ( 0.03) | 48.64% ( -0.03) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.77% ( 0.08) | 26.23% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.66% ( 0.11) | 61.33% ( -0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0) Other @ 3.76% Total : 46.54% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.56% | 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.27% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.22% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 29.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 21 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 50 |
2 | Inter Milan | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 51 | 18 | 33 | 47 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 21 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 46 | 24 | 22 | 43 |
4 | Lazio | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 39 |
5 | Juventus | 21 | 8 | 13 | 0 | 34 | 17 | 17 | 37 |
6 | Fiorentina | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
7 | Bologna | 20 | 8 | 9 | 3 | 32 | 26 | 6 | 33 |
8 | AC Milan | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 31 |
9 | Roma | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 27 |
10 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 26 |
11 | Torino | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 26 | -5 | 23 |
12 | Genoa | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 23 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 21 |
14 | Empoli | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 21 | 4 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 20 |
16 | Lecce | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 36 | -21 | 20 |
17 | Como | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 33 | -11 | 19 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 21 | 6 | 1 | 14 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 19 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 15 |
20 | Monza | 21 | 2 | 7 | 12 | 20 | 31 | -11 | 13 |
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