Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan3 - 0Monza
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 AC Milan
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: AC Milan 1-1 Monza
Milan are the only team yet to draw a home match in Serie A this season, but that streak may come to an end on Sunday afternoon. A hangover from their Champions League exploits is a distinct possibility, while Monza are no pushovers and will be motivated by meeting their illustrious regional rivals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
55.06% ( 2.18) | 22.59% ( -0.95) | 22.34% ( -1.23) |
| Both teams to score 56.51% ( 1.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.97% ( 2.88) | 43.03% ( -2.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.57% ( 2.79) | 65.43% ( -2.79) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( 1.8) | 15.52% ( -1.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 55.56% ( 3.25) | 44.44% ( -3.26) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.9% ( 0.5) | 33.1% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.3% ( 0.54) | 69.7% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
AC Milan 55.06%
Monza 22.34%
Draw 22.59%
| AC Milan | Draw | Monza |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.63)2-0 @ 8.92% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.31)3-2 @ 3.38% ( 0.27)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.35)4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.19)5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0.16)Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.06% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.54) 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.68)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.59% | 1-2 @ 5.85% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.67)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.32)1-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.35% Total : 22.34% |
How you voted: AC Milan vs Monza
AC Milan
86.3%Draw
7.8%Monza
5.9%51
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 5pm
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
