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Serie A | Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Monza

AC Milan
3 - 0
Monza

Reijnders (3'), Simic (41'), Okafor (76')
Reijnders (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Carboni (55'), Gagliardini (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Newcastle 1-2 AC Milan
Wednesday, December 13 at 8pm in Champions League

Monza

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 1-0 Genoa
Sunday, December 10 at 2pm in Serie A

We said: AC Milan 1-1 Monza

 Milan are the only team yet to draw a home match in Serie A this season, but that streak may come to an end on Sunday afternoon. A hangover from their Champions League exploits is a distinct possibility, while Monza are no pushovers and will be motivated by meeting their illustrious regional rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 55.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Monza had a probability of 22.34%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Monza win it was 1-2 (5.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawMonza
55.06% (2.179 2.18) 22.59% (-0.954 -0.95) 22.34% (-1.227 -1.23)
Both teams to score 56.51% (1.616 1.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.97% (2.876 2.88)43.03% (-2.878 -2.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.57% (2.786 2.79)65.43% (-2.788 -2.79)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.47% (1.801 1.8)15.52% (-1.802 -1.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.56% (3.254 3.25)44.44% (-3.256 -3.26)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.9% (0.496 0.5)33.1% (-0.498 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.3% (0.542 0.54)69.7% (-0.544 -0.54)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 55.06%
    Monza 22.34%
    Draw 22.59%
AC MilanDrawMonza
2-1 @ 9.86% (0.102 0.1)
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.628 -0.63)
2-0 @ 8.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.12% (0.421 0.42)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.31 0.31)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.274 0.27)
4-1 @ 2.85% (0.352 0.35)
4-0 @ 2.58% (0.287 0.29)
4-2 @ 1.58% (0.214 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.06% (0.186 0.19)
5-0 @ 0.96% (0.158 0.16)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 55.06%
1-1 @ 10.58% (-0.54 -0.54)
2-2 @ 5.45% (0.129 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.14% (-0.682 -0.68)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.117 0.12)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 5.85% (-0.22 -0.22)
0-1 @ 5.68% (-0.668 -0.67)
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.322 -0.32)
1-3 @ 2.16% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.074 0.07)
0-3 @ 1.16% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 22.34%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Monza

AC Milan
86.3%
Draw
7.8%
Monza
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 23
Monza
0-1
AC Milan
Messias (31')
> Preview
Oct 22, 2022 5pm
Gameweek 11
AC Milan
4-1
Monza
Diaz (16', 41'), Origi (65'), Leao (84')
Ranocchia (70')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta18132343202341
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio1911263327635
5Juventus18711030151532
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7Bologna177732521428
8AC Milan177642617927
9Udinese197482328-525
10Roma196582624223
11Torino195681924-521
12Empoli194871822-420
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Parma194782534-919
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
16Como184682030-1018
17CagliariCagliari1945101832-1417
18Lecce1945101131-2017
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010
> Serie A Full Table


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