Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 66.7%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Fiorentina had a probability of 14.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Fiorentina win it was 1-2 (4.11%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
66.7% | 18.85% | 14.45% |
Both teams to score 54.07% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.12% | 38.88% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.8% | 61.2% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.2% | 10.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.17% | 34.83% |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.62% | 39.38% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.92% | 76.08% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Fiorentina |
2-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.47% 3-0 @ 7.82% 3-1 @ 7.28% 4-0 @ 4.35% 4-1 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 3.39% 5-0 @ 1.94% 4-2 @ 1.89% 5-1 @ 1.81% Other @ 4.35% Total : 66.7% | 1-1 @ 8.82% 2-2 @ 4.57% 0-0 @ 4.25% 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.85% | 1-2 @ 4.11% 0-1 @ 3.96% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.42% 1-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.84% Total : 14.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |