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Serie A | Gameweek 6
Sep 10, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Milan logo

Sampdoria
1 - 2
AC Milan

Duricic (57')
Ferrari (54'), Villar (66'), Quagliarella (90+3'), Augello (90+5'), Leris (90+6')
Giampaolo (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Messias (6'), Giroud (67' pen.)
Leao (17')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sampdoria and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salzburg 1-1 AC Milan
Tuesday, September 6 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Sampdoria 0-2 AC Milan

Although recovering quickly from their midweek exertions may be a challenge for Milan, they are fortunate their opponents are drained of confidence and lack a goalscoring threat. Pioli can therefore make use of his deepening squad to continue his side's unbeaten start. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 72.78%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.06%) and 0-3 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.1%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 1-0 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
10.18% (-0.064 -0.06) 17.03% (-0.099 -0.1) 72.78% (0.158 0.16)
Both teams to score 46.72% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.48% (0.25899999999999 0.26)41.51% (-0.265 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.08% (0.262 0.26)63.91% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)48.09% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)83.29% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.01% (0.105 0.11)9.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67% (0.248 0.25)32.99% (-0.251 -0.25)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 10.19%
    AC Milan 72.77%
    Draw 17.03%
SampdoriaDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 3.52% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-1 @ 2.97% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 10.19%
1-1 @ 8.1% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.8% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-2 @ 3.42% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 17.03%
0-2 @ 12.74% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-3 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 7.17% (0.027 0.03)
0-4 @ 5.64% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 4.13% (0.034 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.62% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 2.6% (0.03 0.03)
1-5 @ 1.9% (0.025 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.015 0.01)
0-6 @ 1% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 72.77%

How you voted: Sampdoria vs AC Milan

Sampdoria
17.1%
Draw
13.7%
AC Milan
69.2%
117
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 11.30am
Aug 23, 2021 7.45pm
Apr 3, 2021 11.30am
AC Milan
1-1
Sampdoria
Quagliarella (57')
Colley (32'), Thorsby (39'), Silva (45+1'), Candreva (73')
Silva (59')
Dec 6, 2020 7.45pm
Sampdoria
1-2
AC Milan
Ekdal (82')
Silva (26'), Jankto (45+2')
Kessie (45' pen.), Castillejo (77')
Kessie (5')
Jan 6, 2020 2pm
AC Milan
0-0
Sampdoria

Krunic (13')

Depaoli (40'), Thorsby (68'), Colley (70'), Bereszynski (78'), Linetty (91')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli22172337152253
2Inter Milan21155155183750
3Atalanta BCAtalanta22144448252346
4Lazio2212373830839
5Juventus22813135191637
6Fiorentina21106535221336
7AC Milan219753223934
8Bologna2181033327634
9Roma228683328530
10Torino226882326-326
11Udinese2275102534-926
12Genoa226882030-1026
13Como2257102736-922
14Empoli224992129-821
15CagliariCagliari2256112336-1321
16Parma2248102839-1120
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2262142548-2320
18Lecce2255121540-2520
19VeneziaVenezia2237122035-1516
20Monza2227132033-1313


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