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Serie A | Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

AC Milan
4 - 2
Udinese

Hernandez (11' pen.), Rebic (15', 68'), Diaz (46')
Krunic (34')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Becao (2'), Masina (45+3')
Soppy (9'), Becao (34'), Perez (55'), Ebosele (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vicenza 1-6 AC Milan
Saturday, August 6 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Udinese 2-1 FeralpiSalo
Friday, August 5 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

We said: AC Milan 2-1 Udinese

Milan may have underwhelmed in the transfer market, but they have a clearly defined way of playing and it has proven effective across the past two years. A home game against relatively modest opponents should be a gift, then, to start the new season, but Udinese can be tricky customers and will not be easily dispatched. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 13.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.51%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.59%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.77%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.

Result
AC MilanDrawUdinese
66.5% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04) 20.2% (0.023000000000003 0.02) 13.3% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.5% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)47.49% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.29% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)69.7% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)13.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.69% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)40.31% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.52% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)46.47% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)82.08% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Score Analysis
    AC Milan 66.49%
    Udinese 13.3%
    Draw 20.2%
AC MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.57%
1-0 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 8.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 4.24% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.48% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 66.49%
1-1 @ 9.59% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 20.2%
0-1 @ 4.77% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.83% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 0.94% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 13.3%

How you voted: AC Milan vs Udinese

AC Milan
89.3%
Draw
9.8%
Udinese
0.8%
122
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2022 5.50pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Leao (29')
Rebic (68'), Leao (90+4')
Udogie (66')
Perez (17'), Becao (49'), Molina (73'), Success (77')
Dec 11, 2021 7.45pm
Udinese
1-1
AC Milan
Beto (17')
Perez (25'), Deulofeu (55')
Success (90+5')
Ibrahimovic (90+2')
Castillejo (87'), Florenzi (90+5')
Mar 3, 2021 7.45pm
AC Milan
1-1
Udinese
Kessie (90+7' pen.)
Rebic (24'), Hernandez (32'), Romagnoli (90+2'), Kessie (90+4')
Becao (68')
Zeegelaar (54')
Nov 1, 2020 11.30am
Udinese
1-2
AC Milan
De Paul (48' pen.)
Becao (24'), Arslan (39')
Kessie (18'), Ibrahimovic (83')
Hernandez (13'), Donnarumma (49')
Jan 19, 2020 11.30am
AC Milan
3-2
Udinese
Rebic (48', 93'), Hernandez (72')
Bennacer (40'), Pioli (53'), Conti (63'), Ibrahimovic (80'), Castillejo (94')
Stryger Larsen (6'), Lasagna (85')
Sema (27')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli19142330121844
2Atalanta BCAtalanta19133343202342
3Inter Milan17124145153040
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus19712031161533
6Fiorentina1895431181332
7AC Milan187742718928
8Bologna177732521428
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma196582624223
11Torino205782025-522
12Empoli204881925-620
13Genoa194871627-1120
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma194782534-919
16Como194782131-1019
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1961122442-1819
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia1935111832-1414
20Monza1917111727-1010


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