Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
29.98% ( 0.4) | 26.28% ( -0.32) | 43.74% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 51.57% ( 1.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.21% ( 1.44) | 52.79% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.58% ( 1.21) | 74.42% ( -1.21) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.85% ( 1.04) | 32.15% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.36% ( 1.16) | 68.64% ( -1.15) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.01% ( 0.6) | 23.99% ( -0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.77% ( 0.84) | 58.24% ( -0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
1-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.44) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.17) 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.12) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 19 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 18 | 44 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 19 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 43 | 20 | 23 | 41 |
3 | Inter Milan | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 45 | 15 | 30 | 40 |
4 | Lazio | 20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
5 | Juventus | 19 | 7 | 12 | 0 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
6 | Fiorentina | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 32 |
7 | AC Milan | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 27 | 18 | 9 | 28 |
8 | Bologna | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Udinese | 20 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
10 | Roma | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Torino | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 25 | -5 | 22 |
12 | Empoli | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
13 | Genoa | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 20 |
14 | Lecce | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | 32 | -18 | 20 |
15 | Parma | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 19 |
16 | Como | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
17 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 24 | 42 | -18 | 19 |
18 | CagliariCagliari | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33 | -14 | 18 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 14 |
20 | Monza | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |