Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 32.63% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Udinese win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sampdoria in this match.
