Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ascoli and SPAL.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 36.72%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.35%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 1-0 (12.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for SPAL in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
| 33.48% | 29.79% | 36.72% |
| Both teams to score 42.6% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.49% | 64.51% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.45% | 83.54% |
| Ascoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.18% | 35.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.41% | 72.59% |
| SPAL Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% | 33.62% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.73% | 70.26% |
| Score Analysis |
Ascoli 33.48%
SPAL 36.72%
Draw 29.78%
| Ascoli | Draw | SPAL |
| 1-0 @ 12.36% 2-1 @ 6.92% 2-0 @ 6.35% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.29% Other @ 2.02% Total : 33.48% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.04% 2-2 @ 3.77% Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.78% | 0-1 @ 13.12% 1-2 @ 7.35% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.6% 2-3 @ 1.37% Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.72% |
How you voted: Ascoli vs SPAL
Ascoli
50.0%Draw
33.3%SPAL
16.7%6
Head to Head
