Serie B | Gameweek 28
Mar 3, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari1 - 1Spezia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Spezia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Catanzaro 2-0 Bari
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Spezia 0-2 FeralpiSalo
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Wednesday, February 28 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.8%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 25.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.53%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.67%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Spezia |
47.8% ( 1.13) | 27.19% ( -0.43) | 25.01% ( -0.7) |
| Both teams to score 45.57% ( 0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.12% ( 1.03) | 58.88% ( -1.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.62% ( 0.79) | 79.38% ( -0.79) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 1.01) | 24.71% ( -1.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.74% ( 1.4) | 59.26% ( -1.4) |
| Spezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.52% ( -0.05) | 39.47% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.83% ( -0.04) | 76.17% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 47.79%
Spezia 25.01%
Draw 27.19%
| Bari | Draw | Spezia |
| 1-0 @ 13.63% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.16)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 1.92% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.29% Total : 47.79% | 1-1 @ 12.67% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.65% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.43% Total : 25.01% |
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2018 5pm
