Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 51.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 22.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cesena in this match.
-0.81) 
0.76) 
