Cesena

4 - 2

Mantova

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 52.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 22.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.96%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.