Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Como win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Como win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.