Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 2, 2023 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia
Modena2 - 1Reggiana
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Reggiana.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Parma 1-1 Modena
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, November 25 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Reggiana |
39.97% ( -0) | 28.07% ( 0.01) | 31.96% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.02% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.04% ( -0.03) | 58.96% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.56% ( -0.02) | 79.43% ( 0.02) |
| Modena Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.17% ( -0.02) | 28.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.31% ( -0.02) | 64.69% ( 0.02) |
| Reggiana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.06% ( -0.02) | 33.93% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.02) | 70.61% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Modena 39.96%
Reggiana 31.96%
Draw 28.07%
| Modena | Draw | Reggiana |
| 1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.57% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.96% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.42% ( -0)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.07% | 0-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.71% 1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.96% |
