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Monza
Serie B | 1st Leg
May 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
U-Power Stadium

Monza
2 - 1
Pisa

Mota (9'), Gytkjaer (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Berra (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Serie B playoff final first-leg clash between Monza and Pisa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Pisa 3-4 Monza (0-0 pen.)
Sunday, May 29 at 7.30pm in Serie B

We said: Monza 1-1 Pisa

Pisa have scored in each of their last five meetings against Monza and have not lost during this run, while the latter have managed to keep four clean sheets in their last six home games. A closely-fought contest is set to be played out at the Stadio Brianteo, and while Pisa have fared better in this fixture in recent years, we feel that Monza will do enough to claim at least a draw to keep the tie alive heading into Sunday's second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monza would win this match.

Result
MonzaDrawPisa
53.88%24.72%21.41%
Both teams to score 48.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.05%52.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.45%74.55%
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.4%19.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.45%51.55%
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.42%39.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.73%76.27%
Score Analysis
    Monza 53.87%
    Pisa 21.41%
    Draw 24.71%
MonzaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 12.64%
2-0 @ 10.3%
2-1 @ 9.55%
3-0 @ 5.6%
3-1 @ 5.19%
3-2 @ 2.4%
4-0 @ 2.28%
4-1 @ 2.11%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.87%
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 7.76%
2-2 @ 4.42%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.19%
1-2 @ 5.43%
0-2 @ 3.33%
1-3 @ 1.68%
2-3 @ 1.37%
0-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.41%

How you voted: Monza vs Pisa

Monza
58.3%
Draw
22.2%
Pisa
19.4%
36
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 1pm
Monza
1-2
Pisa
Valoti (8')
Valoti (83'), Augusto (90+2')
Puscas (18'), Pereira (65' og.)
Puscas (44'), Mastinu (54'), Hermannsson (75'), Lucca (90+1')
Sep 21, 2021 7.30pm
Pisa
2-1
Monza
Sibilli (7'), Lucca (53')
Caracciolo (44'), Hermannsson (78'), Masucci (85')
Mota (64')
Mazzitelli (13'), Valoti (37'), Pepin (71'), Augusto (81')
Caldirola (47')
Feb 12, 2021 8pm
Monza
0-2
Pisa

Barilla (4'), Frattesi (82'), Bellusci (90+3')
Palombi (7', 12')
Mazzitelli (26'), Quaini (31'), Birindelli (53')
Oct 20, 2020 8pm
Pisa
1-1
Monza
Marconi (81')
Lisi (25'), Caracciolo (74'), Pisano (83')
Frattesi (46')
Bellusci (17'), Armellino (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Vikings
9-27
Rams
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1SassuoloSassuolo21154245202549
2Pisa21144338191946
3SpeziaSpezia21109230141639
4Cremonese219662921833
5Juve StabiaJuve Stabia217952324-130
6CatanzaroCatanzaro2151332521428
7BariBari2161052218428
8Palermo217682219327
9Carrarese217681922-327
10Cesena217592728-126
11Modena2151062526-125
12Reggiana216782123-225
13Brescia215972528-324
14Mantova215972428-424
15Cittadella216691732-1524
16Sampdoria214982431-721
17FrosinoneFrosinone214891730-1320
18SudtirolSudtirol2154122034-1419
19Cosenza CalcioCosenza2141072125-418
20Salernitana2146112031-1118


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