Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Parma had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Parma win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
