Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 19, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi
Perugia3 - 2Benevento
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Benevento.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Venezia 3-2 Perugia
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
37
Last Game: Benevento 2-1 Modena
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, May 13 at 1pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Benevento had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Benevento win was 0-1 (10.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Perugia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Perugia | Draw | Benevento |
37.95% ( -0) | 28.05% | 33.99% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 47.5% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.44% | 58.55% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.87% ( 0) | 79.12% ( -0) |
| Perugia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.18% | 29.81% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.1% | 65.9% |
| Benevento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.68% ( 0) | 32.32% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.17% ( 0) | 68.82% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
Perugia 37.95%
Benevento 33.99%
Draw 28.05%
| Perugia | Draw | Benevento |
| 1-0 @ 11.66% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 7.06% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.41% Total : 37.95% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.5% Other @ 0.75% Total : 28.05% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 7.44% 0-2 @ 6.15% 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.31% 2-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.72% Total : 33.99% |
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 2pm
Feb 26, 2022 3.20pm
Oct 3, 2021 7.30pm
Mar 3, 2020 8pm
Oct 19, 2019 5pm
