Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 9, 2024 at 1pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia2 - 1Sudtirol
FT(HT: 1-1)
Casiraghi (32' pen.)
Davi (52'), Casiraghi (56'), Tait (59'), Rauti (82')
Davi (52'), Casiraghi (56'), Tait (59'), Rauti (82')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Sudtirol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bari 1-1 Spezia
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Sunday, March 3 at 3.15pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Lecco
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, March 2 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
35
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 48.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result | ||
Spezia | Draw | Sudtirol |
48.93% ( 0.13) | 26.84% ( -0.08) | 24.22% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.82% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.8% ( 0.25) | 58.2% ( -0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.16% ( 0.19) | 78.84% ( -0.19) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.12% ( 0.17) | 23.88% ( -0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.92% ( 0.24) | 58.08% ( -0.23) |
Sudtirol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.19% ( 0.1) | 39.81% ( -0.1) |