Sudtirol

3 - 1

Ascoli

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Ascoli had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.11%) and 2-1 (7.78%). The likeliest Ascoli win was 0-1 (11.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.