Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 64.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for NS Mura had a probability of 14.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a NS Mura win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.