MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 13:30:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 23
Feb 4, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Ankara Ondokuz Mayıs Stadyumu

Ankaragucu
0 - 2
Karagumruk

FT(HT: 0-1)
Diagne (45+1'), Borini (65' pen.)
Bertolacci (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Ankaragucu and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ankaragucu

All competitions
Last Game: Ankaragucu 0-2 Gaziantep
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 1-1 Besiktas
Tuesday, January 31 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Ankaragucu 0-2 Fatih Karagumruk

 We believe that this match will be decided upon the greater attacking threat with Fatih Karagumruk carrying a lethal duo of Fabio Borini and Mbaye Diagne up top which will prove too much to handle for Ankaragucu. We also think that, despite having a poor defensive record, Fatih Karagumruk will collect only their fourth clean sheet of the season and will win this affair 2-0. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ankaragucu win with a probability of 51.78%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ankaragucu win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Fatih Karagumruk in this match.

Result
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
51.78% (0.438 0.44) 22.69% (-0.3 -0.3) 25.52% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 60% (0.912 0.91)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.84% (1.265 1.27)40.16% (-1.264 -1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.47% (1.294 1.29)62.53% (-1.294 -1.29)
Ankaragucu Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.37% (0.61200000000001 0.61)15.63% (-0.611 -0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.37% (1.122 1.12)44.63% (-1.122 -1.12)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (0.569 0.57)28.88% (-0.568 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (0.698 0.7)64.76% (-0.69699999999999 -0.7)
Score Analysis
    Ankaragucu 51.78%
    Fatih Karagumruk 25.52%
    Draw 22.69%
AnkaragucuDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.315 -0.32)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.126 -0.13)
3-1 @ 5.98% (0.121 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.81% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.132 0.13)
4-1 @ 2.77% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.057 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.72% (0.096 0.1)
5-1 @ 1.03% (0.063 0.06)
Other @ 3.72%
Total : 51.78%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.22 -0.22)
2-2 @ 6% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.269 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.54% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.69%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 5.61% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-2 @ 3.48% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.67% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.48% (0.077 0.08)
0-3 @ 1.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Ankaragucu vs Karagumruk

Ankaragucu
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Fatih Karagumruk
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2022 5.15pm
Karagumruk
4-1
Ankaragucu
Dursun (2'), Borini (9', 48'), Diagne (83' pen.)
Musa (90+2'), Shukurov (90+3')
Baniya (53' og.)
Pepe (45+6'), Ceylan (61'), Osmanoglu (82')
Mar 7, 2021 10.30am
Karagumruk
0-1
Ankaragucu

Erdinc (85')
Potuk (55')
Friedrich (90+4')
Nov 8, 2020 10.30am
Ankaragucu
2-2
Karagumruk
Borven (27' pen.), Gural (90+1')
Bolingi (29'), Sarlija (47'), Adzic (52'), Cankaya (59'), Pazdan (80')
Sobiech (15'), Roco (35')
Zukanovic (25'), Ndao (27')
rhs 2.0
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12KasimpasaKasimpasa2051053237-525
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> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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