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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 19
Jan 15, 2023 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan Stadyumu

Kasimpasa
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Tirpan (60'), Graovac (65'), Bahoken (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Colley (77'), Ugur (90+4'), Biraschi (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Kasimpasa and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Besiktas 2-1 Kasimpasa
Saturday, January 7 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-3 Konyaspor
Sunday, January 8 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Kasimpasa 2-2 Fatih Karagumruk

 Kasimpasa put up a good fight against Besiktas in their last outing and won convincingly in their last game on home soil, so they will not make it easy. Karagumruk's focus on attack leaves them vulnerable defensively, but they have the firepower up front in the likes of Borini and Mbaye Diagne to cause big problems. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kasimpasa win with a probability of 54.62%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 23.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kasimpasa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.62%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
54.62% (-0.468 -0.47) 22.16% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.23% (0.437 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.2% (0.45800000000001 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.99% (0.341 0.34)40.02% (-0.338 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.62% (0.354 0.35)62.38% (-0.34999999999999 -0.35)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.38% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)14.63% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.26% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)42.75% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.35% (0.562 0.56)30.66% (-0.559 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.1% (0.65799999999999 0.66)66.9% (-0.655 -0.66)
Score Analysis
    Kasimpasa 54.62%
    Fatih Karagumruk 23.23%
    Draw 22.16%
KasimpasaDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.62% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.29% (-0.151 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.31% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-2 @ 3.71% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.16% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.62%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.073 0.07)
0-0 @ 4.48% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.083 0.08)
0-1 @ 5.3% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.13% (0.047 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.069 0.07)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 23.23%

How you voted: Kasimpasa vs Karagumruk

Kasimpasa
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Fatih Karagumruk
22.2%
9
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
Karagumruk
1-1
Kasimpasa
Sobiech (45+1')
Biglia (52'), Zukanovic (52'), Viviano (90+2'), Ndao (90+3')
Durmaz (74')
Kara (47')
Kara (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray109102992028
2Fenerbahce107212391423
3Samsunspor1071220101022
4BesiktasBesiktas106221910920
5EyupsporEyupspor115421711619
6SivassporSivasspor115241716117
7Goztepe SKGoztepe SK104331713415
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul104331714315
9KasimpasaKasimpasa113531517-214
10KonyasporKonyaspor114251418-414
11TrabzonsporTrabzonspor102621111012
12GaziantepGaziantep103341415-112
13Bodrumspor11326813-511
14AntalyasporAntalyaspor103251220-811
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
16Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor10316718-1110
17KayserisporKayserispor10163915-69
18Hatayspor10037717-103
19Adana Demirspor10028924-152
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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