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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
Jun 6, 2023 at 3pm UK
NEF Stadyumu

Karagumruk
3 - 0
Kasimpasa

Lobzhanidze (14'), Diagne (67', 82')
Bertolacci (34'), Feghouli (74'), Diagne (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ozcan (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Fatih Karagumruk and Kasimpasa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Konyaspor 1-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, June 3 at 2pm in Turkish Super Lig

Kasimpasa

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-5 Besiktas
Saturday, June 3 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-2 Kasimpasa

 Goals are normally a guarantee when Karagumruk and Kasimpasa butt heads, as the net has rippled 20 times in the last five meetings between the two sides, and a similarly entertaining contest could be on the cards here as both teams play with the shackles off. The Diagne-inspired hosts often make up for their defensive shortcomings with potent attacking play, but Ozdes's side are ending the season in impressive fashion away from home, and we can picture both managers happily accepting a point before preparations commence for the 2023-24 season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.19%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
48.32% (0.329 0.33) 23.25% (-0.16 -0.16) 28.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
Both teams to score 60.65% (0.454 0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.54% (0.653 0.65)40.46% (-0.647 -0.65)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.16% (0.667 0.67)62.83% (-0.662 -0.66)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.02% (0.375 0.38)16.98% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.91% (0.658 0.66)47.09% (-0.653 -0.65)
Kasimpasa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.05% (0.221 0.22)26.95% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.71% (0.286 0.29)62.29% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Fatih Karagumruk 48.32%
    Kasimpasa 28.42%
    Draw 23.24%
Fatih KaragumrukDrawKasimpasa
2-1 @ 9.43% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.11% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 7.19% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.58% (0.074 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.07 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.47% (0.062 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.89% (0.037 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 4.13%
Total : 48.32%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.044 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.58% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.24%
1-2 @ 6.98% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-1 @ 6% (-0.143 -0.14)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.05% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Karagumruk vs Kasimpasa

Fatih Karagumruk
66.7%
Draw
18.2%
Kasimpasa
15.2%
33
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 1pm
gameweek 19
Kasimpasa
2-2
Karagumruk
Hadergjonaj (30' pen.), Bahoken (90+10')
Dresevic (51'), Borini (61')
Apr 9, 2022 11.30am
gameweek 32
Karagumruk
3-2
Kasimpasa
Ugur (31'), Pesic (38'), Bistrovic (72')
Durmaz (10'), Ugur (66'), Mor (90+6')
Serbest (67'), Muleka (82')
Elmali (40'), Serbest (45'), Spajic (57')
Nov 21, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 13
Kasimpasa
1-3
Karagumruk
Erdogan (32')
Travnik (31')
Brecka (1' og.), Karamoh (20'), Pesic (27' pen.)
Mor (45+1'), Oztumer (45+4'), Zukanovic (60'), Biglia (90')
Eggen Hedenstad (90+4'), Biglia (90+7')
Feb 20, 2021 10.30am
gameweek 26
Kasimpasa
3-2
Karagumruk
Kiese Thelin (20'), Erdogan (59', 69')
Bistrovic (75')
Roco (14'), Castro (80')
Bertolacci (24'), Altinay (89')
Oct 18, 2020 2pm
gameweek 5
Karagumruk
1-1
Kasimpasa
Sobiech (45+1')
Biglia (52'), Zukanovic (52'), Viviano (90+2'), Ndao (90+3')
Durmaz (74')
Kara (47')
Kara (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray11101032112131
2Fenerbahce118212791826
3Samsunspor1281324131125
4EyupsporEyupspor126421811722
5BesiktasBesiktas116321910921
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK115331913618
7SivassporSivasspor125251720-317
8Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul114431714316
9KasimpasaKasimpasa123541619-314
10KonyasporKonyaspor124261420-614
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor124261524-914
12Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor114161019-913
13TrabzonsporTrabzonspor112631214-212
14GaziantepGaziantep113351518-312
15KayserisporKayserispor112631116-512
16Bodrumspor123271016-611
17AlanyasporAlanyaspor11245914-510
18Hatayspor111371018-86
19Adana Demirspor11029925-162
> Turkish Super Lig Full Table


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