Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 38
May 25, 2024 at 2pm UK
Vefa Stadi
Karagumruk3 - 1Samsunspor
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gaziantep 3-1 Karagumruk
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Samsunspor 1-1 Alanyaspor
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, May 18 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Goals
for
for
41
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 1-1 Samsunspor
Karagumruk's relegation could be a factor in this match, despite Samsunspor's struggles on the road. The hosts have nothing left to fight for and might not be up for it. However, we expect a close, low-scoring draw. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Samsunspor had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Samsunspor win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Samsunspor |
43.4% ( -0.18) | 24.99% ( 0.05) | 31.61% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 56.5% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
