Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 5pm UK
Ülker Stadyumu Fenerbahçe Şükrü Saracoğlu Spor Kompleksi
Fenerbahce2 - 1Karagumruk
Coverage of the Turkish Super Lig clash between Fenerbahce and Fatih Karagumruk.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.06%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.37%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 61.12% | 21.81% | 17.07% |
| Both teams to score 50.23% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% | 47.05% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% | 69.29% |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.1% | 14.9% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 56.73% | 43.27% |
| Fatih Karagumruk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.02% | 40.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.46% | 77.54% |
| Score Analysis |
Fenerbahce 61.11%
Fatih Karagumruk 17.07%
Draw 21.8%
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Fatih Karagumruk |
| 1-0 @ 11.62% 2-0 @ 11.06% 2-1 @ 9.87% 3-0 @ 7.02% 3-1 @ 6.27% 4-0 @ 3.34% 4-1 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.79% 4-2 @ 1.33% 5-0 @ 1.27% 5-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.42% Total : 61.11% | 1-1 @ 10.37% 0-0 @ 6.11% 2-2 @ 4.4% Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.8% | 0-1 @ 5.45% 1-2 @ 4.63% 0-2 @ 2.43% 1-3 @ 1.38% 2-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.89% Total : 17.07% |
