We said: Hatayspor 1-1 Besiktas
Besiktas's defeat on Thursday highlighted the depth of their current poor form, especially how easy it has become to create scoring opportunities against them.
However, Hatayspor have also not shown enough to be trusted with punishing the hosts, which is why we are predicting a stalemate.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 43.48%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.