We said: Istanbul Basaksehir 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk
Basaksehir were far from their best in the defeat at Alanyaspor last time out, but a first home clash of the campaign gives the hosts the opportunity to put things right quickly.
Fatih face a difficult away trip after pushing hard against Besiktas on Monday, and we are expecting back-to-back defeats for Erdem's charges.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Istanbul Basaksehir win with a probability of 49.44%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.62% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Istanbul Basaksehir win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.