Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 30
Mar 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu
Kasimpasa3 - 4Galatasaray
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Istanbulspor 1-2 Kasimpasa
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, March 10 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Galatasaray 6-2 Caykur Rizespor
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Friday, March 8 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Kasimpasa 1-2 Galatasaray
Galatasaray are unstoppable at the moment and we think they will carry this momentum into the game with Kasimpasa. It is crunch time in the title race and the Lions will dig deep to secure three points again. However, it should be a close affair as the home side also have an European ticket within sight. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 50.66%. A win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.56%). The likeliest Kasimpasa win was 2-1 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
Result | ||
Kasimpasa | Draw | Galatasaray |
26.48% ( -0.6) | 22.86% ( 0.1) | 50.66% ( 0.51) |
Both teams to score 60.35% ( -0.91) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -0.95) | 40.12% ( 0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -0.99) | 62.49% ( 0.99) |
Kasimpasa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.84% ( -0.93) | 28.16% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.16% ( -1.2) | 63.84% ( 1.2) |
Galatasaray Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.99% ( -0.17) | 16.01% ( 0.17) |