Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 25
Mar 11, 2023 at 4pm UK
NEF Stadyumu
Galatasaray1 - 0Kasimpasa
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gaziantep 0-3 Galatasaray
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Sunday, March 5 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Kasimpasa 3-1 Antalyaspor
Monday, March 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Monday, March 6 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Galatasaray 2-1 Kasimpasa
Despite a seemingly unstoppable run of results, Galatasaray have netted more than two goals at Nef Stadium just twice in their last 10 home games. They have won nine of those matches but have also failed to keep a clean sheet in all but one game, a statistic that gives Kasimpasa hope of scoring, even though they are unlikely to prevent a slender Gala triumph. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galatasaray win with a probability of 68.48%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Kasimpasa had a probability of 13.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galatasaray win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.4%), while for a Kasimpasa win it was 1-2 (3.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Galatasaray would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
68.48% ( 0.44) | 18.04% ( -0.12) | 13.48% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 54.32% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.18) | 37.25% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.54% ( -0.19) | 59.45% ( 0.19) |
| Galatasaray Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.1% ( 0.06) | 9.9% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 67.2% ( 0.13) | 32.8% ( -0.14) |
| Kasimpasa Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.29% ( -0.57) | 39.71% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 23.62% ( -0.53) | 76.38% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
Galatasaray 68.48%
Kasimpasa 13.48%
Draw 18.04%
| Galatasaray | Draw | Kasimpasa |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02)1-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.48% ( 0)4-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.03% Total : 68.48% | 1-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.04% | 1-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.63% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.48% |
How you voted: Galatasaray vs Kasimpasa
Galatasaray
90.0%Draw
6.7%Kasimpasa
3.3%30
Head to Head
Sep 11, 2022 6pm
Kasimpasa
2-3
Galatasaray
Gomis (20'), Akturkoglu (50', 69')
Jul 24, 2022 6pm
Jan 20, 2022 5pm
Aug 29, 2021 5.15pm
Kasimpasa
2-2
Galatasaray
Cicaldau (32'), Akturkoglu (38')
Feb 14, 2021 1pm
Galatasaray
2-1
Kasimpasa
Akturkoglu (9'), Mohamed (89' pen.)
Form Guide
