We said: Kayserispor 1-0 Istanbul Basaksehir
Kayserispor have been a tough nut to crack so far this season, and were unfortunate in suffering their first defeat of the season at Besiktas last weekend.
The hosts boast a fantastic recent record against Basaksehir, and the lowly visitors will come into this clash with their morale severely dented after a thrashing in midweek.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Istanbul Basaksehir had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Istanbul Basaksehir win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.