Swiss Super League | Gameweek 18
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel2 - 3Luzern
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and Luzern.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Gallen 1-1 Basel
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, January 22 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Luzern 2-2 FC Zurich
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Swiss Super League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 64.53%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Luzern had a probability of 16.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Luzern win it was 1-2 (4.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
64.53% ( 0.04) | 19.35% ( -0.1) | 16.12% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.49% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.26% ( 0.56) | 37.74% ( -0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.02% ( 0.6) | 59.98% ( -0.6) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.97% ( 0.17) | 11.03% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 64.65% ( 0.38) | 35.35% ( -0.38) |
| Luzern Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.5% ( 0.42) | 36.5% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.71% ( 0.42) | 73.29% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
Basel 64.53%
Luzern 16.12%
Draw 19.35%
| Basel | Draw | Luzern |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.13)1-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.18)3-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.19% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.75% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.45% Total : 64.53% | 1-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.35% | 1-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.33% Total : 16.12% |
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2022 3.30pm
Basel
3-0
Luzern
Grether (51'), Sorgic (67')
Jan 30, 2022 3.30pm
Oct 3, 2021 3.30pm
