MX23RW : Wednesday, December 25 18:09:17| >> :300:86500:86500:
Lugano
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 5
Dec 6, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Basel

Lugano
1 - 3
Basel

Macek (54')
Macek (25'), Steffen (49'), Vladi (77'), Saipi (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dubasin (29'), Jovanovic (61'), Beney (90+2')
Schmid (18'), Ruegg (21'), Salvi (86'), Veiga (89'), Avdullahu (89'), Avdullahu (89')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Lugano and Basel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Swiss Super League
Last Game: Lugano 1-0 Luzern
Sunday, December 3 at 3.30pm in Swiss Super League

Basel

All competitions
Last Game: SLO 1-1 Basel
Saturday, December 2 at 5pm in Swiss Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
LuganoDrawBasel
35.32% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04) 24.37% (0.0019999999999989 0) 40.3% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.85% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-0.012 -0.01)42.87% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.012 -0.01)65.27% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.1% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)23.9% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.89% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)58.11% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.65% (0.01400000000001 0.01)21.35% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.68% (0.021999999999998 0.02)54.32% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Lugano 35.32%
    Basel 40.3%
    Draw 24.37%
LuganoDrawBasel
2-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.23% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.49% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.32%
1-1 @ 11.27%
2-2 @ 6.23% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.37%
1-2 @ 8.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.88% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.21%
0-3 @ 3.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 40.3%

How you voted: Lugano vs Basel

Lugano
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Basel
44.4%
9
Head to Head
May 21, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 34
Basel
1-1
Lugano
Zeqiri (34')
Zeqiri (38'), Males (62'), Calafiori (63'), Frei (90+4'), Vogel (90+7')
Vogel (0'), Calafiori (90+4')
Steffen (84')
Hajrizi (19'), Mahou (89'), Steffen (89'), Saipi (90+4')
Feb 26, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 22
Lugano
2-2
Basel
Celar (33'), Aliseda (38')
Males (74'), Lang (83')
Oct 9, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 10
Lugano
1-0
Basel
Mahou (33')
Aug 14, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 5
Basel
0-2
Lugano

Xhaka (32')
Babic (90+1'), Mahmoud (90+4')
Arigoni (4'), Daprela (42'), Valenzuela (87'), Saipi (90+2')
May 22, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 36
Basel
2-1
Lugano
Males (6'), Kasami (71')
Ndoye (30'), Pavlovic (34'), Kasami (72')
Kasami (74')
El Amine Amoura (27')
Ruegg (59'), Mahmoud (62')
Mahmoud (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1LuganoLugano189453024631
2Basel1893640192130
3Lausanne SportLausanne189363122930
4Luzern188553330329
5Servette188552927229
6FC Zurich187652425-127
7Sion187562521426
8St GallenSt Gallen186752923625
9Young Boys186572529-423
10Yverdon Sport184591628-1217
11Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper183691727-1015
12FC WinterthurWinterthur1834111640-2413
> Swiss Super League Full Table


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