MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 12:37:36| >> :60:287:287:
Mafra
Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round
Nov 8, 2022 at 8.45pm UK
 
Porto

Mafra
0 - 3
Porto


Cordeiro (47'), Ferreira (83')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Marcano (7'), Eustaquio (38'), Galeno (73')
Eustaquio (24'), Cardoso (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Mafra and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mafra

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Mafra 1-1 Tondela
Wednesday, April 20 at 8.15pm in Taca de Portugal
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Porto

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 4-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, November 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Mafra 0-3 Porto

 Mafra have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and will look to cause an upset on Tuesday. However, given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing a rotated Porto side to claim a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.37%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Mafra had a probability of 8.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.12%) and 0-3 (10.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Mafra win it was 1-0 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
MafraDrawPorto
8.74%15.89%75.37%
Both teams to score 44.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.14%40.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.75%63.25%
Mafra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.3%50.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.86%85.14%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.8%9.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.86%31.13%
Score Analysis
    Mafra 8.74%
    Porto 75.36%
    Draw 15.89%
MafraDrawPorto
1-0 @ 3.17%
2-1 @ 2.57%
2-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 8.74%
1-1 @ 7.56%
0-0 @ 4.66%
2-2 @ 3.06%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 15.89%
0-2 @ 13.27%
0-1 @ 11.12%
0-3 @ 10.56%
1-2 @ 9.02%
1-3 @ 7.17%
0-4 @ 6.3%
1-4 @ 4.28%
0-5 @ 3.01%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-5 @ 2.04%
2-4 @ 1.45%
0-6 @ 1.2%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 75.36%

How you voted: Mafra vs Porto

Mafra
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Porto
100%
5
rhs 2.0
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