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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Porto
4 - 0
Pacos de Ferreira

Evanilson (4', 39'), Taremi (31'), Delgado (55' og.)
Grujic (68'), Mario (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Pires (44'), Delgado (69'), Djalo (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Atletico
Tuesday, November 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-1 Maritimo
Friday, October 28 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira

Porto will be licking their lips as they take on a floundering Pacos de Ferreira side who have endured a horrid start to the campaign. Looking at the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are tipping the Dragoes to ease to a comfortable victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 75.4%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.2%) and 3-0 (10.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.56%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (3.17%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
75.4% (0.146 0.15) 15.9% (-0.081999999999999 -0.08) 8.7% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
Both teams to score 44.54% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.95% (0.206 0.21)41.05% (-0.199 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56% (0.21 0.21)63.44% (-0.203 -0.2)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.77% (0.090999999999994 0.09)9.23% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.77% (0.206 0.21)31.23% (-0.199 -0.2)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.07% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)50.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.71% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)85.29%
Score Analysis
    Porto 75.39%
    Pacos de Ferreira 8.7%
    Draw 15.9%
PortoDrawPacos de Ferreira
2-0 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 11.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 10.59% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.15% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 6.31% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
4-1 @ 4.26% (0.026000000000001 0.03)
5-0 @ 3.01% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.03% (0.02 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.19% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 75.39%
1-1 @ 7.56% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.7% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.04% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 15.9%
0-1 @ 3.17% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 2.55% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.07% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 8.7%

How you voted: Porto vs Pacos de Ferreira

Porto
94.0%
Draw
6.0%
Pacos de Ferreira
0.0%
50
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 6pm
Pacos de Ferreira
2-4
Porto
Delgado (31'), Gaitan (66')
Pepe (17'), Evanilson (38', 52'), Taremi (59')
Vitinha (49'), Uribe (72')
Oct 2, 2021 6pm
Porto
2-1
Pacos de Ferreira
Diaz (44'), Wendell (52')
Taremi (16'), Wendell (30'), Pepe (54')
Taremi (90+5')
Santos (19')
Ferreira (17'), Antunes (32'), Denilson (40'), Delgado (79'), Baixinho (83')
Mar 14, 2021 8pm
Porto
2-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Pepe (77'), Oliveira (78')
Fernandes Conceicao (90')

de Brito Gonzaga (62'), Costa (70')
Oct 30, 2020 8.30pm
Pacos de Ferreira
3-2
Porto
Jan (11'), Eustaquio (43'), Costa (59' pen.)
Pedro (84')
Pepa (41')
Oliveira (45+7' pen.), Otavio (78')
Oliveira (84')
Conceicao (90+5')
Jun 29, 2020 9.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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