MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 05:05:51| >> :60:3375:3375:
Nacional
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 12, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio da Madeira
Braga

Nacional
0 - 5
Braga


Vieira (75')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Racic (25', 53' pen.), Pizzi (43'), Banza (76' pen., 90+1')
Racic (47'), Pizzi (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Nacional and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-5 Nacional
Thursday, February 9 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Braga

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Braga 4-1 Estoril
Saturday, April 8 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Nacional 0-2 Braga

 Having conceded nine goals without scoring across their last three matches, Nacional look destined to struggle against Braga, who should secure a fifth victory in six outings to put one foot in the Taca de Portugal final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 56.16%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Nacional had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.88%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Nacional win it was 1-0 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawBraga
21.04% (0.804 0.8) 22.8% (0.271 0.27) 56.16% (-1.079 -1.08)
Both teams to score 53.95% (0.351 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.46% (-0.13800000000001 -0.14)45.54% (0.135 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.13% (-0.131 -0.13)67.87% (0.128 0.13)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.73 0.73)35.75% (-0.733 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.743 0.74)72.52% (-0.745 -0.75)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.97% (-0.41500000000001 -0.42)16.03% (0.412 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.62% (-0.765 -0.77)45.38% (0.76 0.76)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 21.04%
    Braga 56.16%
    Draw 22.8%
NacionalDrawBraga
1-0 @ 5.9% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 5.55% (0.172 0.17)
2-0 @ 3.03% (0.135 0.14)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.096 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.04% (0.066 0.07)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.04%
1-1 @ 10.79% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 5.73% (0.033 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.08% (0.087000000000001 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.8%
0-1 @ 10.49% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 9.88% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-2 @ 9.6% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-3 @ 6.03% (-0.101 -0.1)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.219 -0.22)
2-3 @ 3.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.42% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 56.16%

How you voted: Nacional vs Braga

Nacional
15.9%
Draw
11.4%
Braga
72.7%
44
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2021 8pm
Nacional
1-2
Braga
Riascos (69')
Pedrao (59')
Fransergio (25'), Ruiz (29')
Oct 17, 2020 6pm
Braga
2-1
Nacional
Fransergio (28'), Medeiros (42')
Sequeira (76')
Borges (86')
Ramos (31'), Kal (36'), Freitas (70'), Azouni (89')
Jan 18, 2019 6.45pm
Nacional
0-3
Braga

Riascos (10'), Ferreira (72')
Horta (61'), Murilo (73'), Paulinho (86')
Santos (10'), Sousa (14')
Aug 12, 2018 8.30pm
Braga
4-2
Nacional
Sousa (4', 32'), Horta (48', 72')
Figueiras (71')
Rochez (23' pen., 37')
Cerqueira (15'), Jota (43'), Alhassan (81')
May 14, 2017 8.15pm
Braga
4-0
Nacional
Cesar (9' og.), Stojiljkovic (37', 42'), Neto (81')
Jorge (11'), Ferreira (88')

Goncalves (27'), Correia (56'), Jota (85')
rhs 2.0
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