MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 23:24:51| >> :60:936:936:
Casa Pia
Taca de Portugal | Quarter-Finals
Feb 9, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
 
Nacional

Casa Pia
2 - 5
Nacional

Pinto (53'), Martins (80')
Nunes (6'), Clayton (67'), Fernandes (90+5'), Varela (115'), Martins (118')
Nunes (17'), Fernandes (92')
FT
(aet)
Esteves (44', 46'), Danilovic (94' pen.), Gomes (105+3' pen.), Gustavo (108')
Witi (76'), Ramos (77'), Vieira (86'), Danilovic (90+8'), Clayton (100')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Casa Pia and Nacional, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Nacional 1-0 Rabo Peixe
Wednesday, January 11 at 5.30pm in Taca de Portugal

We say: Casa Pia 2-0 Nacional

Nacional's Taca de Portugal journey looks set to end at the quarter-final stage, with Casa Pia expected to flex their top-flight muscles and book their place in the last four with another clean-sheet victory in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.55%) and 2-1 (8.37%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Casa PiaDrawNacional
43.29% (-0.236 -0.24) 28.26% (0.178 0.18) 28.45% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 45.07% (-0.453 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.3% (-0.582 -0.58)60.69% (0.578 0.58)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.23% (-0.442 -0.44)80.76% (0.438 0.44)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (-0.405 -0.41)27.83% (0.401 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.57% (-0.518 -0.52)63.42% (0.514 0.51)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.46% (-0.275 -0.27)37.54% (0.273 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.68% (-0.27 -0.27)74.32% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 43.29%
    Nacional 28.44%
    Draw 28.25%
Casa PiaDrawNacional
1-0 @ 13.36% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.37% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.57% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 43.29%
1-1 @ 13.09% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 10.44% (0.22 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.065 -0.06)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.23% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 6.41% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.01% (0.034 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 28.44%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Nacional

Casa Pia
79.3%
Draw
12.1%
Nacional
8.6%
58
rhs 2.0
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1Liverpool19144147192846
2Arsenal20117239182140
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1911442619737
4Chelsea20106439241536
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle20105534221235
6Manchester CityMan City2010463627934
7Bournemouth209653023733
8Aston Villa209563032-232
9Fulham207943027330
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2061043029128
11Brentford208393835327
12Tottenham HotspurSpurs20731042301224
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd206592328-523
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham206592439-1523
15Crystal Palace204972128-721
16Everton193881525-1017
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1944113142-1116
18Ipswich TownIpswich2037102035-1516
19Leicester CityLeicester2035122344-2114
20Southampton2013161244-326


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