Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 11, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
Vizela0 - 4Braga
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 2-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, March 5 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vizela 1-3 Braga
Buoyed by last week's victory over Estoril Praia, Vizela will head into the weekend with sky-high confidence and will be looking to build on that result. However, they take on a Braga side who have enjoyed a solid campaign and are pushing for a return to the Champions League. Given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing Braga to come away with all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 31.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Braga |
31.01% ( -0.01) | 25.65% ( 0.02) | 43.34% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.07% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
