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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Chaves
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Apr 2, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Braga

Chaves
1 - 2
Braga

Juninho (42')
Mendes (45'), Euller (45+2'), Sarr (55'), Abass (80'), Singh (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Medeiros (16'), Ruiz (59')
Borja (62'), Ruiz (79'), Castro (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Chaves
Saturday, March 18 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 0-0 Porto
Sunday, March 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Chaves 1-2 Braga

 While Braga will be looking to return to winning ways and keep their quest for an automatic Champions League spot alive, they face a resurgent Chaves side who have been solid in their last two outings. However, we are backing Jorge's men to take the positives from their draw against Porto and claim all three points here, albeit by the odd goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 26.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.45%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 2-1 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Braga in this match.

Result
ChavesDrawBraga
26.91% (0.726 0.73) 23.99% (0.125 0.13) 49.1% (-0.851 -0.85)
Both teams to score 56.84% (0.228 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)44.92% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)67.28% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.65% (0.55900000000001 0.56)30.34% (-0.561 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.47% (0.662 0.66)66.53% (-0.664 -0.66)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-0.331 -0.33)18.39% (0.329 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.47% (-0.561 -0.56)49.53% (0.558 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Chaves 26.91%
    Braga 49.1%
    Draw 23.98%
ChavesDrawBraga
2-1 @ 6.72% (0.134 0.13)
1-0 @ 6.66% (0.101 0.1)
2-0 @ 3.97% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.093 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.26% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.58% (0.071 0.07)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 26.91%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.69% (0.053 0.05)
0-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.98%
1-2 @ 9.54% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 9.45% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-2 @ 8% (-0.173 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.39% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-3 @ 3.21% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-4 @ 2.28% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-4 @ 1.91% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.1%

How you voted: Chaves vs Braga

Chaves
16.0%
Draw
8.0%
Braga
76.0%
25
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Braga
0-1
Chaves

Banza (5')
Hernandez (2')
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')
Mar 18, 2018 6pm
Chaves
1-4
Braga
Platiny (76')
Duarte (82')
Viana (28'), Horta (39', 91'), Paulinho (73')
Esgaio (75')
Oct 29, 2017 4pm
Braga
1-0
Chaves
Viana (58')
Esgaio (26'), Nascimento (45'), Paulinho (69')

Maras (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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