MX23RW : Saturday, November 2 10:19:40| >> :60:4:4:
Nacional
Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 11, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Estádio da Madeira

Nacional
1 - 0
Rabo Peixe

Gomes (26')
Danilovic (10'), Aurelio (89')
Danilovic (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eskimo (48'), Oliveira (55'), Mane (90+4')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Nacional and Rabo Peixe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Sporting Covilha 1-2 Nacional
Wednesday, December 14 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Rabo Peixe

All competitions
Last Game: Rabo Peixe 2-0 Sanjoanense
Wednesday, November 9 at 3.30pm in Taca de Portugal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Rabo Peixe had a probability of 17.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Rabo Peixe win it was 0-1 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nacional in this match.

Result
NacionalDrawRabo Peixe
59.54% (0.285 0.29) 22.82% (0.067 0.07) 17.63% (-0.354 -0.35)
Both teams to score 48.19% (-0.86 -0.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-0.806 -0.81)50.34% (0.804 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-0.719 -0.72)72.28% (0.71600000000001 0.72)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.45% (-0.185 -0.19)16.55% (0.183 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.68% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)46.32% (0.332 0.33)
Rabo Peixe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.75% (-0.902 -0.9)42.25% (0.9 0.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.35% (-0.786 -0.79)78.65% (0.78400000000001 0.78)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.53%
    Rabo Peixe 17.63%
    Draw 22.82%
NacionalDrawRabo Peixe
1-0 @ 12.57% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.23 0.23)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 6.78% (0.095000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.84% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
4-0 @ 3.05% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.63% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.09 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 59.53%
1-1 @ 10.83% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.225 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 22.82%
0-1 @ 6.02% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.67% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.34% (-0.065 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 17.63%

How you voted: Nacional vs Rabo Peixe

Nacional
50.0%
Draw
42.9%
Rabo Peixe
7.1%
14
rhs 2.0
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