Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 20, 2024 at 6.45pm UK
Estadio Varzim Sport Club
Varzim1 - 0Boavista
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Varzim and Boavista.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varzim win with a probability of 44.98%. A win for Boavista had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Varzim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Boavista win was 0-1 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Varzim in this match.
Result | ||
Varzim | Draw | Boavista |
44.98% ( -0.24) | 25.92% ( 0.08) | 29.1% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.26% ( -0.23) | 51.74% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.49% ( -0.2) | 73.51% ( 0.2) |
Varzim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.06% ( -0.21) | 22.94% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.29% ( -0.31) | 56.71% ( 0.31) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.75% ( 0) | 32.25% ( -0) |