Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 51%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 22.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.25%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
51% ( -0.04) | 26.37% ( 0) | 22.62% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 45.47% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.19% ( 0.03) | 57.81% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.46% ( 0.02) | 78.54% ( -0.02) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.22% ( -0.01) | 22.78% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.53% ( -0.01) | 56.47% ( 0.01) |
Boavista Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.88% ( 0.05) | 41.12% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.33% ( 0.05) | 77.66% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
1-0 @ 13.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.25% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.11% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 2.72% Total : 51% | 1-1 @ 12.31% 0-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.37% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 1.22% Total : 22.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |