Taca de Portugal | Round of 16
Jan 10, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio Do Vizela
Vizela1 - 0Arouca
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Round of 16 clash between Vizela and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Estrela Amadora 1-1 Vizela
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, January 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 36.65% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vizela in this match.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
37.21% ( 1.25) | 26.14% ( 0.35) | 36.65% ( -1.6) |
Both teams to score 53.75% ( -1.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.21% ( -1.49) | 50.79% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.32% ( -1.33) | 72.68% ( 1.33) |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.47% ( 0.01) | 26.52% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.27% ( 0.02) | 61.72% ( -0.02) |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.15% ( -1.59) | 26.85% ( 1.59) |