Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Arouca1 - 0Vizela
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Boavista
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Arouca 1-1 Vizela
Both teams will come into Sunday's meeting full of confidence and have the quality to hurt one another, and we anticipate a hotly-contested encounter. Arouca know that avoiding defeat will be enough to maintain a comfortable lead over their visitors, and we see them having enough to at least take a share of the spoils at the weekend. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
33.72% ( 0.05) | 27.78% ( 0.02) | 38.5% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.27% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.43% ( -0.07) | 57.58% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.65% ( -0.05) | 78.36% ( 0.06) |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68% ( -0) | 32% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.54% ( -0) | 68.47% ( 0) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.99% ( -0.07) | 29.01% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.09% ( -0.09) | 64.91% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
Arouca 33.72%
Vizela 38.5%
Draw 27.78%
| Arouca | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.72% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.78% | 0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.5% |
How you voted: Arouca vs Vizela
Arouca
60.0%Draw
30.0%Vizela
10.0%10
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2022 3.30pm
